If 2024 is any kind of precedent, need to win 10 games to make the CFP. All the 9-3 teams that didn’t win their conference missed the Playoffs last yr. In various order – most forecasters predict: Ohio State, Texas, Penn State, as the 3 betting favorites next yr & we host the 2 that aren’t us. Yikes!
Throw in road trips to Seattle WA, Champaign IL, Madison WI, W.Lafayette IN & Ann Arbor MI. Along with typical feisty Big10 foes hoping to upset us in the Shoe – this Buckeye team needs to be on point all year just to make the CFP!
This schedule isn’t setup for the defending champs to just cruise-control their way back to the Playoffs!
Ohio State’s 2025 schedule is shown below, along with my moronic chance of victory pct. Please adjust Win/Loss probability on the following games as you see fit:
Texas (home): 52%
Grambling (home): 99%
Ohio (home): 99%
Washington (away): 83%
Minnesota (home): 91%
Illiniois (away): 79%
Wisconsin (away): 87%
Penn St (home): 69%
Purdue (away): 96%
UCLA (home): 97%
Rutgers (home): 96%
Michigan (away): 69%
